***A Winter Weather Advisory Remains in Effect for all of Western Massachusetts This Evening Through Noon Tomorrow***
Today: Cloudy with a few morning showers then a steady rain moving later this afternoon. Some wet snow mixing in far north. Highs: 37-43. Winds: N/NE 2-10 mph.
Tonight: Rain, some heavy, changing to snow from north to south overnight and then winding down to snow showers. A “flash freeze” of any standing water or slush! Becoming windy with some blowing snow late. Lows: 15-20 (wind chills: -10 to 5 late). Winds: NE -> NW 10-25 mph & gusty late. (1-3″ for most – more far north)
Tomorrow: Occasional snow showers early, tapering flurries from south to north followed by some late clearing. Very windy (blowing snow) and bitterly cold! Highs: 16-23. (wind chills: -10 to 5). Winds: NW 15-30 mph & gusty!
A powerful storm system will make its way into the northeast over the next 24 hours, bringing quick changes and plunging us back into the deep freeze. This storm is strengthening over the Ohio River Valley this morning and will slide into southern New England later today. The track of the storm will keep enough mild air locked in that most of the precipitation will fall as rain but as the storm pulls away it will whip Arctic air into western Mass. causing a change to snow.
There may be a shower or two around this morning but we’re not expecting much. Most of the morning will remain dry. During the afternoon, rain will become more widespread as it overtakes all of western Massachusetts. The rain will become heavy at times during the evening commute and possibly result in some street flooding in areas of poor drainage. Temperatures will hover around 40 for most of the day.
As we head into the evening things will change quickly. As this powerful storm center passes just to our east, cold Arctic air gets rapidly pulled down into western Mass. This will cause the rain to change to heavy, wet snow. This process will take place first across the Berkshires and Franklin County this evening but then makes it’s way into greater Springfield by midnight. After midnight, it’s all snow. The steady snow will wind down to snow showers during the overnight.
The snow will only be wet for a short periods of time and then quickly becomes powdery as temperatures continue to crash. By dawn, readings will be all the way down into the teens in spots with blowing snow and strong winds. Any standing water or slush will be solid ice by then and road surfaces will become treacherous. The “flash freeze” will likely mean plenty of frozen car doors, locks and windows too! Be sure to take it slow and allow for lots of extra time for tomorrow morning’s commute.
During the day tomorrow, there will be leftover snow showers and flurries and end during the morning with clearing to follow in the afternoon. The sun will do little to warm us up though as highs stay in the teens north and in elevated areas to lower 20s south. Wind chills will be bitterly cold throughout the day and likely stay near zero.
The wind will diminish Thursday night and with fresh snow on the ground and an extremely cold late season air mass in place, record cold is possible once again. The record low for Friday morning is currently -2 set way back in 1948.
By Friday afternoon temperatures will bounce back into the middle and upper 30′s but it will still be rather brisk and chilly so a winter feel will remain in the air. However, the air mass will continue to moderate as we head into the weekend with temperatures climbing well into the 40′s on Saturday, perhaps even touching 50 in a few spots.
Snow Accumulations: Snowfall will range from just an inch or two along the Connecticut border to over 6″ of snow in the higher terrain north of Route 2. Most of Greater Springfield will see about 1-3″ of snow. However, keep in mind the snow will come with all that standing water frozen over so it won’t take much to cause problems on the roadways.
Have a great day!